Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95%
Forecasters
31
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleFeb 1, 25, 1:07 PM UTCDec 9, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Donald Trump be the last US president?
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Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be the US president when we get AGI?
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PolymarketWill Gavin Newsom win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExRules
Resolves to YES if Trump is US President for one day in 2030z
- Resolves to NO otherwise.
- Resolves to NO if he passes away before 2030.
