There will be at least one region which limits suffrage only to those with children through mid 2027
PoliticsOne-OffElectionSociety & Culture9moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 89.3%
Forecasters
16
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJan 2, 25, 8:32 AM UTCJun 30, 27, 9:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
A country, region, province, nation, etc whose political system for voting limits rights such that you need to have (or have had) children to vote.
- If country, any size.
- If other type of division, if at least 100k people, it counts.
- If it is a non-country division, it must be well-divided.
- I.e. within that region, it should be clear that the rule applies for a given election or role.
- Edit: new interpretation details, same day claim was created: within the region it doesn't have to be for every election.
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
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- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
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- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for There will be at least one region which limits suffrage only to those with children through mid 2027?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 89% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does There will be at least one region which limits suffrage only to those with children through mid 2027 resolve?
- There will be at least one region which limits suffrage only to those with children through mid 2027 is scheduled to resolve on June 30, 2027.
- How is There will be at least one region which limits suffrage only to those with children through mid 2027 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: A country, region, province, nation, etc whose political system for voting limits rights such that you need to have (or have had) children to vote.