Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 52%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleFeb 28, 26, 10:32 AM UTCDec 31, 32, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
If at any point before EOY 2032, Canada marks Iran as yellow level or lower on their travel advisory list (https://travel.gc.ca/travelling/advisories), this resolves YES.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Any part of 2025 Iran being yellow or lower counts, except if that part is controlled by another sovereign nation (not Iran) that either existed in 2025 or has the majority of its territory outside the 2025 borders of Iran.
- If the travel advisory scale changes, any level for which one should not avoid non-essential travel counts as yellow or safer.
