Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastDemocrats 54.9%
Forecasters
10
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleFeb 12, 26, 8:19 PM UTCNov 7, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Are Republicans or Democrats better for the economy? [Annual GDP growth by presidential party]
Manifold Markets2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketRules
Resolves to the party that win the 2028 Presidential Election
Open markets
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+82.9pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-82.9pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.1pt0%
- Total Vol
- $985.7K
- 24h Vol
- $777.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.4pt3%
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.5pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.6M
- 24h Vol
- $689.2K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.2M
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
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- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
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- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
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- Presidential Election Winner 2028
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Republicans vs Democrats - 2028 Presidential Election?
- Manifold Markets prices Democrats at 55% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Republicans vs Democrats - 2028 Presidential Election resolve?
- Republicans vs Democrats - 2028 Presidential Election is scheduled to resolve on November 7, 2028.
- How is Republicans vs Democrats - 2028 Presidential Election settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves to the party that win the 2028 Presidential Election