Post US Midterms 2026 Iran Conflict props
CommoditiesOne-OffEquitiesPoliticsUS PoliticsElectionGeopoliticsMiddle East2026 US Midterms1mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastIf the US or Israel strike Iran Nov 4-30, will WTI oil futures be higher 10 days later? 58.4%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
1
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+3.4 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleOct 24, 26, 6:35 PM UTCDec 15, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This is an independent multiple-choice market.
- Each option will resolve individually to YES, NO, or N/A based on whether its specific condition is met between November 4, 2026, and the date specified in the option.
- Options containing conditional clauses ("If...") resolve N/A if their qualifying precondition does not occur during the specified evaluation window.
- "If the US or Israel strike Iran Nov 4-30, will WTI oil futures be higher 10 days later?":
- Precondition: Confirmed military kinetic strike conducted by the US military or Israeli Defense Forces against a target located within Iranian sovereign territory between November 4, 2026, 00:00 UTC and November 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC, reported by credible international news agencies (e.g., Reuters, AP).
