Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 91.7%
Forecasters
26
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleNov 7, 25, 7:08 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by November 30?
PolymarketOpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?
PolymarketRules
Resolution Criteria
- Resolves YES if by 11:59 PM PT on December 31, 2026, OpenAI offers AI compute services (training or inference) to external customers through ANY of the following:
- Public cloud service offering:
- Publicly accessible platform where customers can purchase/rent compute
- Website or portal allowing sign-ups for compute access
- Published pricing for compute hours/tokens
