Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by November 30?
ExchangeOne-OffTechEquitiesCorporate ActionsRegulationBusiness & CorporateAI27d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
↓$1.2T · —
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Stored reference
↓$1.2T 94%Leader of 6 outcomes
↓$1.2T 94%Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$545.1
Liquidity
$1K
Low liquidityOpen interest
$345
Bid / Ask
— / —
↓$1.2TSpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Nov 2, 26, 11:11 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · ↓$1.2T
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk's AI Company (xAI) exceed OpenAI in valuation anytime before 2035?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and November 30, 2026, is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH valuations, equal to or below for ↓ LOW valuations) the listed amount.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
- If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the specified date, this market will remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the specified date.
- If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
- If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
