Current community forecast
Yes 96.2%
Forecasters
144
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Nov 16, 23, 7:02 PM UTCJan 31, 27, 11:30 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Is Attention All You Need?
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market simulates the wager between Jonathan Frankie (@jefrankle) and Sasha Rush (@srush_nlp)
- Details can be fount at https://www.isattentionallyouneed.com/
- On January 1, 2027, a Transformer-like model will continue to hold the state-of-the-art position in most benchmarked tasks in natural language processing.
- [image]Other markets on the same:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/HanchiSun/is-attention-all-you-need?r=Zmlyc3R1c2VyaGVyZQ)(https://manifold.markets/embed/ICRainbow/on-january-1-2027-a-transformerlike?r=Zmlyc3R1c2VyaGVyZQ)
