Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 65.4%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleSep 22, 23, 5:36 AM UTCJan 2, 31, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Harriet Tubman replace Andrew Jackson on the $20 by the end of 2030?
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Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRules
It must be the mainline, physical 20$ bill in bulk, replacing the old imagery.
- Not a one-off or short-term or special promotion.
Open markets
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $704M
- 24h Vol
- $805.6K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.1M
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance-1.0pt44.1%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $63.6M
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Total Vol
- $14.5M
- 24h Vol
- $290.1K
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
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- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for New US $20 bills don't have Andrew Jackson on them any time through 2030?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 65% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does New US $20 bills don't have Andrew Jackson on them any time through 2030 resolve?
- New US $20 bills don't have Andrew Jackson on them any time through 2030 is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2031.
- How is New US $20 bills don't have Andrew Jackson on them any time through 2030 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: It must be the mainline, physical 20$ bill in bulk, replacing the old imagery.