Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 76.2%
Forecasters
24
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleNov 10, 24, 2:36 PM UTCJan 1, 31, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
New US $20 bills don't have Andrew Jackson on them any time through 2030
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRules
She must replace Jackson on the front of the primary circulating $20 bill.
- The reverse of the bill is not relevant for contract resolution.
- A commemorative note will also not count.
- The change is currently planned.
- Some details:
- https://thegrio.com/2022/02/13/us-treasury-harriet-tubman-20-bill/
Open markets
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $704M
- 24h Vol
- $805.6K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.1M
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance-1.0pt44.1%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $63.6M
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Total Vol
- $14.5M
- 24h Vol
- $290.1K
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Harriet Tubman replace Andrew Jackson on the $20 by the end of 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 76% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Harriet Tubman replace Andrew Jackson on the $20 by the end of 2030? resolve?
- Will Harriet Tubman replace Andrew Jackson on the $20 by the end of 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2031.
- How is Will Harriet Tubman replace Andrew Jackson on the $20 by the end of 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: She must replace Jackson on the front of the primary circulating $20 bill.