Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 97%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleSep 19, 23, 12:37 AM UTCJan 2, 31, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
PolymarketRules
A human will kidnap another human in space, according to conventional earth definitions of kidnapping and the definition of space below.
- In the case of lesser potential verdicts, we will attempt to determine if the truth about what happened would have qualified as kidnapping under the laws of New York as of 2023.
- On definition of space:
- Planes flying above earth don't count unless in zero g.
- Rockets do count as long as they've launched (not sitting on the surface of Earth) whether or not they have gravity.
- Space stations count.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Kidnapping in space any time through 2030?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 97% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Kidnapping in space any time through 2030 resolve?
- Kidnapping in space any time through 2030 is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2031.
- How is Kidnapping in space any time through 2030 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: A human will kidnap another human in space, according to conventional earth definitions of kidnapping and the definition of space below.
