10GW AI training run before 2029?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for 10GW AI training run before 2029??

Manifold Markets prices No at 67.2% as of October 29, 2026.

When does 10GW AI training run before 2029? resolve?

10GW AI training run before 2029? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2029.

How is 10GW AI training run before 2029? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: In "Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead", Leopold Aschenbrenner predicts that the largest AI training clusters will consume 10GW of electricity in ~2028.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+0.6pt98%
• Anthropic-1.4pt1%
• OpenAI1%

+18 more outcomes

Total Vol

$4.1M

24h Vol

$239.4K

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini+7.7pt53%
• Claude-9.5pt35%
• ChatGPT+1.3pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029+1.5pt23%
• 2028-2.0pt17%
• 2027-0.5pt9%

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029+7.0pt28%
• 2028+3.5pt24%
• 2027+0.5pt10%

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Google+3.5pt53%
• Anthropic-9.0pt33%
• OpenAI6%

+12 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-0.5pt30.1%
• $1.5–$1.75T+4.5pt21.4%
• $2.0–$2.25T-1.9pt20.4%

+7 more outcomes

• Anthropic IPO by which date?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Google market share this week
• Gemini Carbon: HLE-Diamond Debut?
• OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• Gemini Carbon released by which date?
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• Best AI in Oct 2026?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?