$100B AI training cluster before 2029?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for $100B AI training cluster before 2029??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 95.4% as of October 30, 2026.

When does $100B AI training cluster before 2029? resolve?

$100B AI training cluster before 2029? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2029.

How is $100B AI training cluster before 2029? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: In "Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead", Leopold Aschenbrenner estimates that the largest training clusters will cost hundreds of billions of dollars around 2028.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini+1.7pt56.2%
• Claude+1.2pt36.2%
• ChatGPT-0.6pt6.1%

+5 more outcomes

Total Vol

$16.2M

24h Vol

$144.2K

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

• ↑$1.5T-6.8pt89%
• ↑$1.75T-4.5pt81%
• ↑$2.0T-8.0pt65%

+11 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T30%
• $1.5–$1.75T+5.5pt23%
• $2.0–$2.25T-2.3pt19%

+7 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?

• December 31-1.1pt92%
• November 30-10.5pt80%
• November 19-3.5pt72%

+27 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

• 1.5T+-3.8pt37%
• No IPO by December 31, 2027-6.9pt21%
• 1.25T–1.5T12%

+4 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+1.7pt99%
• OpenAI-0.2pt1%
• Alibaba0%

+18 more outcomes

• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• Anthropic IPO by which date?
• Google market share this week
• Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
• When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
• Anthropic IPO Date
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• When will Gemini Carbon be released?
• Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?