Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 89.1%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleAug 15, 24, 2:26 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 3:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Jordan Peterson becomes a Roman Catholic (ends 2030)
Manifold MarketsWill the Catholic and Eastern Orthodox Churches reconcile before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran target Jordan by which date?
PolymarketWill Palestine be Annexed by Jordan or the UAE?
Manifold MarketsCanada becomes EU Associate Member by which date?
PolymarketWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
PolymarketRules
Public intellectual Jordan B. Peterson becomes an Eastern Orthodox Christian before 2030.
Open markets
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+1.1pt97%
- September 25-4.0pt85%
- September 30-2.0pt78%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $765.8K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt60%
- October 3135%
- September 309%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Total Vol
- $67.4M
- 24h Vol
- $297.6K
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31+2.5pt21%
- October 31+4.0pt14%
- September 30+1.6pt4%
+9 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhere will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- No Meeting by September 30+0.2pt88.9%
- USA-1.1pt9.1%
- Switzerland+0.3pt1%
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Houthis enter Aden by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Jordan Peterson becomes an Eastern Orthodox Christian before 2030?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 89% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Jordan Peterson becomes an Eastern Orthodox Christian before 2030 resolve?
- Jordan Peterson becomes an Eastern Orthodox Christian before 2030 is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.
- How is Jordan Peterson becomes an Eastern Orthodox Christian before 2030 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Public intellectual Jordan B. Peterson becomes an Eastern Orthodox Christian before 2030.