Current community forecast
No 82.4%
Forecasters
420
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 29 minutes ago
Feb 20, 23, 10:38 PM UTCJan 2, 28, 7:59 AM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolves positively if Marcus (or someone else fulfilling his role) can find three extremely obvious questions, that an average human teenager could certainly answer, which a leading chatbot still fails at at least half the time when asked.
- This won't resolve positively if he has to use bizarre hacking-like tricks, for example things equivalent to the SolidGoldMagikarp token.