In 2028, will LLMs still be able to get Gary Marcus to make egregious errors?

POLYMARKET

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029+3.5pt23%
• 2028+1.0pt18%
• 2027-1.0pt9%

Total Vol

$2.6M

24h Vol

$230.2K

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+4.7pt88.1%
• Anthropic-2.5pt10.9%
• OpenAI-0.1pt1%

+18 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?

• December 31-1.3pt90%
• October 31-30.1pt25%
• October 30-25.5pt24%

+17 more outcomes

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+1.0pt91.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt91.5%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+1.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+2.0pt27.2%
• $2.0–$2.25T-0.1pt21.4%
• $1.5–$1.75T+3.6pt19.4%

+7 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic-1.5pt49%
• Google-2.5pt42.7%
• OpenAI-0.1pt5.2%

+12 more outcomes