If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027??

Manifold Markets prices No at 87.6% as of October 29, 2026.

When does If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027? resolve?

If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.

How is If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves yes if Donald Trump appoints a Supreme Court Justice between his inauguration and January 1st, 2027.

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POLYMARKET

Which party will win the House in 2026?

• Democratic Party93%
• Republican Party-0.5pt7%

Total Vol

$28.7M

24h Vol

$4M

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep+3.0pt65.5%
• D-House, R-Senate28.5%
• Republicans sweep-0.5pt

KALSHI

Who will control the House?

• Democratic Party+0.3pt91.3%
• Republican Party-0.1pt8.9%

Total Vol

$80.2M

24h Vol

$3.4M

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico+2.0pt68.5%
• Ken Paxton-2.0pt31.5%

Total Vol

$50.4M

24h Vol

$3.3M

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep65.7%
• R Senate, D26.5%
• Republicans Sweep-1.0pt6.9%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in December?

• 25 bps increase-5.0pt76.2%
• No change+6.0pt21.8%
• 50+ bps increase-0.6pt2%

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