If there are 100+ inmates at alligator alcatraz will there be a prison break of 1 or more inmates by end of 2027?
Crime & Justice1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 91.6%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleJul 2, 25, 5:04 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for If there are 100+ inmates at alligator alcatraz will there be a prison break of 1 or more inmates by end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 92% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does If there are 100+ inmates at alligator alcatraz will there be a prison break of 1 or more inmates by end of 2027? resolve?
- If there are 100+ inmates at alligator alcatraz will there be a prison break of 1 or more inmates by end of 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.