Alcatraz holds ten federal inmates for one week before January 20, 2029?
One-OffUS PoliticsCrime & Justice2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 90.8%
Forecasters
117
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleMay 4, 25, 11:58 PM UTCJan 19, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
Trump said he wants to “reopen” Alcatraz as a federal prison.
- Must be one continuous week, ten inmates physically on the island, held at the same time (not sequentially.)
- "Inmates" = "people who the Trump Administration thinks should be detained in a prison," does not necessarily need to be people who have been convicted of a crime.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Alcatraz holds ten federal inmates for one week before January 20, 2029??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 91% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Alcatraz holds ten federal inmates for one week before January 20, 2029? resolve?
- Alcatraz holds ten federal inmates for one week before January 20, 2029? is scheduled to resolve on January 19, 2029.
- How is Alcatraz holds ten federal inmates for one week before January 20, 2029? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Trump said he wants to “reopen” Alcatraz as a federal prison.