If the Clacton by-election is held, will Count Binface get at least 10 percent of the vote?

PoliticsOne-OffElection US Politics

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Yes (99%)

Resolved: Aug 14, 2026, 5:09 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

Yes 99%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 6 days ago

Stale

Jul 7, 26, 5:51 PMAug 14, 26, 5:09 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes99%

No1%

Yes

99%

Rules

Resolves based on official election results.

If the Clacton by-election is held, will Count Binface get at least 10 percent of the vote?

PoliticsOne-OffElection US Politics

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Yes (99%)

Resolved: Aug 14, 2026, 5:09 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

Yes 99%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 6 days ago

Stale

Jul 7, 26, 5:51 PMAug 14, 26, 5:09 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes99%

No1%

Yes

99%

Rules

Resolves based on official election results.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for If the Clacton by-election is held, will Count Binface get at least 10 percent of the vote??: Manifold Markets prices Yes at 99% as of August 15, 2026.
When does If the Clacton by-election is held, will Count Binface get at least 10 percent of the vote? resolve?: If the Clacton by-election is held, will Count Binface get at least 10 percent of the vote? is scheduled to resolve on August 14, 2026.
How is If the Clacton by-election is held, will Count Binface get at least 10 percent of the vote? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves based on official election results.

If the Clacton by-election is held, will Count Binface get at least 10 percent of the vote?

If the Clacton by-election is held, will Count Binface get at least 10 percent of the vote?

Frequently asked questions

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