If a mundane explanation for the phenomena thought to be due to dark matter is found, what will it be?
One-OffScience7yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastPrimordial asteroid sized black holes 43.6%Leader of 8 outcomes
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37
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multiple choice
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Updated 2 hours ago
StaleApr 20, 24, 8:18 PM UTCApr 27, 34, 9:59 PM UTC
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Mundane means no new particles, no new forces, no upheaval of GR, no major changes in our understanding of textbook cosmology.
- For instance dark matter somehow being allowed to be baryonic goes against textbook cosmology.
- Somehow generating primordial black holes does not, imo.
- Feel free to add your answers.
- In ten years from now I will resolve NA if a non-mundane explanation is found (e.g. MOND or some suitable DM particle) or if dark matter is still an unsolved problem.
- Otherwise I will resolve yes the answer(s) that I deem to be correct in my interpretation of the scientific consensus of the time.
