Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 22, 2026, 11:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastChooses not to run for Re-Election 43.1%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
3
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleAug 23, 26, 5:08 AM UTCDec 28, 30, 5:37 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Katie Wilson resign as Seattle mayor in 2026?
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PredictItRules
Resolution criteria
- This is a dependent multiple-choice market.
- Exactly one option will resolve to YES, and the remaining options will resolve to NO.
- The market will resolve based on the manner by which Katie Wilson officially leaves the office of Mayor of Seattle:
- the named outcome: Resolves to YES if Katie Wilson passes away while actively serving as the Mayor of Seattle.
- Recalled: Resolves to YES if she is removed from office via a successful recall election.
