How will global GDP be distributed among the countries in 2050? [add responses]

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for How will global GDP be distributed among the countries in 2050? [add responses]?

Manifold Markets prices United States at 22.6% as of October 18, 2026.

When does How will global GDP be distributed among the countries in 2050? [add responses] resolve?

How will global GDP be distributed among the countries in 2050? [add responses] is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2050.

How is How will global GDP be distributed among the countries in 2050? [add responses] settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves to the percentage share of the country's economy of the world gross domestic product, based on first publication of the World Bank or a similar global instution after 2050.

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KALSHI

Core CPI in December

• Above 0.0%+2.0pt97.5%
• Above 0.1%-15.0pt76.5%
• Above 0.2%-39.0pt24.5%

+8 more outcomes

Total Vol

$43.7K

24h Vol

$9.9K

KALSHI

Recession in 2027?

• No80.5%
• Yes19.5%

Total Vol

$702.4K

24h Vol

$9.5K

KALSHI

CPI in October

• Above -0.1%98.5%
• Above 0.0%96.5%
• Above 0.1%+3.0pt84.5%

KALSHI

US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?

• Above 0.0%99.5%
• Above 0.5%99%
• Above 1.0%97.5%

POLYMARKET

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?

• 4.3-4.6%+5.5pt84%
• 4.0-4.3%-0.2pt8%
• 4.6-4.9%-8.0pt7%

+6 more outcomes

KALSHI

CPI YoY in November

• Above 3.1%98.5%
• Above 3.0%98.5%
• Above 3.2%96.5%

• Unemployment in October
• Core CPI YoY in December
• Core CPI in November
• Jobs numbers in October 2026?
• Unemployment rate in Oct 2026?
• US real GDP growth in 2026?
• 2026: Trump's dream year?
• Recession this year?
• US recession by end of 2026?
• Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
• Core CPI YoY in November
• CPI in November