Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 7:45 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 93.7%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleSep 20, 25, 11:36 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
https://www.moreno.senate.gov/press-releases/new-moreno-bill-would-crack-down-on-outsourcing-fund-american-workers/
- The HIRE Act:
- Creates a 25% tax on outsourcing payments, defined as any money paid by a U.S. company or taxpayer to a foreign person whose work benefits consumers in the United States.
- Creates a “Domestic Workforce Fund” to collect any money raised from the outsourcing tax, which is used to support apprenticeships and workforce development programs.
- Prohibits companies from deducting any outsourcing payments.
- Something nearly equal that gets approved will also resolve this as YES, even if it's not proposed by the same person or is known by the same name.
