Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 87.6%
Forecasters
26
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jul 7, 26, 11:11 AM UTCOct 5, 26, 11:10 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold Markets2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+81.8pt100%
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- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $884.5K
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
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- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.6M
- 24h Vol
- $655K
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+16 more outcomes
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.3M
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt37.1%
- Édouard Philippe32%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Hegseth, Patel, or RFK is out within the next 90 days?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 88% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Hegseth, Patel, or RFK is out within the next 90 days resolve?
- Hegseth, Patel, or RFK is out within the next 90 days is scheduled to resolve on October 5, 2026.