This market resolved: Kraken
Resolved: Oct 10, 2026, 6:02 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Kraken
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 11, 2026, 4:06 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
OKX1%
Upbit0%
Binance1%
Bybit0%
KrakenWon
BinanceLost
BybitLost
CoinbaseLost
OKXLost
UpbitLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Jumper listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?
PolymarketPapertrade listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?
PolymarketCambria listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?
PolymarketLinera listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?
PolymarketJumper listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?
LimitlessHegseth, Patel, or RFK is out within the next 90 days
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the LAPTOP token is listed for spot trading on the specified exchange within 30 days after the token's launch (TGE).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The token referenced in this market is LAPTOP, the token announced by Hunter Biden for launch on Base, as identified by the token's official channels (https://x.com/Laptoptoken) and confirmed by Hunter Biden or his official representatives.
- The token's launch (TGE) is defined as the first time the token is actively and publicly tradable.
- A qualifying listing means the token is available for spot trading on the exchange's primary global platform at any point from the token's launch through 11:59 PM ET on the 30th calendar day following the calendar day of launch (measured in ET).
- Perpetual futures, other derivatives, and pre-launch markets do not qualify.
