What are the current odds for Greenland changes and development multi market, all due June 30 2028?

Manifold Markets prices GDP > 4b (3.85b in 2024) (for any year) at 81.3% as of October 28, 2026.

Greenland changes and development multi market, all due June 30 2028

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

GDP > 4b (3.85b in 2024) (for any year) 81.3%

Leader of 21 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

0.0 pts

Market data

Updated 16 hours ago

Stale

Jan 14, 25, 9:47 PM UTCJul 1, 28, 6:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

When something is "built" it has to at least be funded and to have broken ground.

All claims refer to Greenland.
If coverage of a change is not evenly spread throughout the area, we refer to the largest city by population.
US military bases which are over 80% us military it direct support personnel enployed by the federal govt or contractors will not count.
Such staff, if less than 80% of a built up area will still count.
Eg if the capital has 100k people and 30k are us military related the entire 100k counts.