Conditional on losing the upcoming general election, how soon will the UK Conservative party be back in power?
Politics13y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast
1 Jan 2032 or later 38.6%Leader of 5 outcomes
1 Jan 2032 or later 38.6%Forecasters
32
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 19 hours ago
StaleJun 16, 24, 7:07 PM UTCJan 30, 40, 8:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Predict the specific timeframe for the UK Conservative Party will return to power in the event that they lose the upcoming general election.
- This market focuses on the exact years within which the Conservative Party will regain a majority in the House of Commons and form the government.
- Resolution criteria
- This market is contingent on the Conservative Party losing the upcoming general election, as is widely expected.
- It will resolve N/A otherwise.
- The Conservative Party must successfully form the government.
