Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95.6%
Forecasters
22
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleSep 26, 25, 1:52 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
SPLC found guilty in 2026?
PolymarketWill Andrew Tate be found guilty of rape or human trafficking in the UK?
Manifold MarketsWill the cop who shot Nahel M. be found guilty of homicide?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump wins, will Trump be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRules
Resolves yes if James comes is found guilty by a court of the USA in his current indictment
- Update 2025-10-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market may not be limited to charges in the current indictment.
- Superseding or other indictments may be included in the resolution.
- Update 2025-10-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on the current effort to indict, not strictly limited to charges in the current indictment.
- This may include superseding indictments or other related indictments that are part of the same prosecutorial effort.
Open markets
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $808.4K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt15.8%
- Total Vol
- $28.3M
- 24h Vol
- $342.3K
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.2%
- Marco Rubio20.2%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt4.8%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $63.6M
- 24h Vol
- $338.6K
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Comey found guilty by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 96% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Comey found guilty by the end of 2026? resolve?
- Comey found guilty by the end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Comey found guilty by the end of 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves yes if James comes is found guilty by a court of the USA in his current indictment