Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 51%
No 51%Forecasters
40
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Feb 5, 23, 10:33 PM UTCJan 1, 51, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the following metaculus market resolves positively before the end of 2050: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5121/date-of-artificial-general-intelligence/
- Then this market here resolves the same as this one: https://manifold.markets/DanielKilian/by-2050-will-there-be-a-cure-to-agi
- Otherwise, the market here resolves N/A.
