Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 11:51 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
No 89.8%
No 89.8%Forecasters
406
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleNov 19, 22, 8:06 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
