What are the current odds for If there is ever a cure to aging, what is it most likely to resemble??

Manifold Markets prices Gene therapy at 38.1% as of October 26, 2026.

Paper trade this

If there is ever a cure to aging, what is it most likely to resemble?

One-OffHealth & Medicine

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Data quality warningSource data degraded

Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 7:33 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4

Current community forecast

Gene therapy 38.1%

Leader of 12 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

0.0 pts

Market data

Updated 9 hours ago

Stale

Sep 23, 23, 11:13 AM UTCJul 19, 59, 6:29 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

I am unsure how best to run a market like this, but if there is a cure to ageing, if such a thing is possible, then this market resolves to whatever option or combination of options most closely resembles the first valid cure.

I will not consider any options that were added after the cure will first be publicly known.

Report a data issue with this market

If there is ever a cure to aging, what is it most likely to resemble?

If there is ever a cure to aging, what is it most likely to resemble?

Open markets

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?

Pandemic in 2026?

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Frequently asked questions

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Open markets

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?

Pandemic in 2026?

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?