Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 67.7%
Forecasters
36
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Feb 16, 24, 6:57 PM UTCDec 31, 40, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
By 2030, will there be a cure to aging?
Manifold MarketsBy 2050, will there be a cure to aging?
Manifold MarketsBy 2060, will there be a cure to aging?
Manifold MarketsBy 2050, will there be a cure to aging conditional on AGI by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiWill the VLA15 Lyme Disease vaccine "pass" its phase 3 human trial?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
