Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Ceará (CE)?
8.9 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffElectionLatin America2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastCiro Gomes 57.3%-8.9ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
3
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-8.9 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleAug 10, 26, 6:00 PMOct 25, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to the person officially elected Governor of the State of Ceará in Brazil’s 2026 general election.
- The first round is scheduled for October 4, 2026.
- If no candidate receives an absolute majority of the valid votes, the two leading candidates will advance to a runoff scheduled for October 25, 2026.
- The market will resolve based on the official result proclaimed or certified by Brazil’s Superior Electoral Court (TSE).
- The winning option will be the candidate who is officially declared elected governor, regardless of whether the election is decided in the first round or in the runoff.
Open markets
Politics
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-8.0pt64.2%
- Ralph Norman+7.0pt27.5%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $13.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.3pt34.7%
- Édouard Philippe27.4%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14.7%
+125 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.5%
- Gavin Newsom+2.0pt15.5%
+44 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $187.1M
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva63.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.2pt32.7%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt4%
+29 more outcomes
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt12%
+125 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $690.6M
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.0pt85.7%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.3%
- Total Vol
- $23.7M
- 24h Vol
- $585.9K
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- North Carolina Senate winner?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- What will Trump say during his rally with Darline Graham?
- Trump out as President by August 31?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Ceará (CE)??
- Manifold Markets prices Ciro Gomes at 57% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Ceará (CE)? resolve?
- Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Ceará (CE)? is scheduled to resolve on October 25, 2026.
- How is Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Ceará (CE)? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the person officially elected Governor of the State of Ceará in Brazil’s 2026 general election.