Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 99%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingDec 9, 25, 10:57 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Brad Lander win the New York 10th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExNY-10 House election: Brad Lander vote percent
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Manifold MarketsConditional on this candidate winning the 2028 Democratic presidential primary, will they win the general election?
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if Brad Lander wins the 2026 Democratic primary for Ny10 and wins the general election in Ny10.
- [image]Dan Goldman is considered a moderate Democrat who is vulnerable to a primary challenge from his left, especially due to the fact Zohran Mamdani won his district in the mayoral primary by36% and election by 34%.