Will Sam Bankman Fried receive a criminal penalty at least as severe as life imprisonment with the possibility of parole before 2030?
One-OffCrime & JusticeCrypto4yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 92.6%
Forecasters
17
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 32 minutes ago
Nov 14, 22, 1:32 PM UTCDec 31, 30, 6:30 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRules
Market resolves to "Yes" if Sam Bankman Fried receives at a criminal penalty at least as severe as a life sentence including with the possibility of parole, OR the maximum possible sentence in any jurisdiction that does not allow life sentences.
