Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 87.2%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Nov 12, 23, 4:23 PM UTCJul 1, 36, 6:59 AM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
A sitting supreme court justice becomes a parent while in office by mid 2036
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ForecastExRules
i.e. by bearing or fathering a baby.
- It doesn't have to be their first baby, and it doesn't have to be a natural birth.
- It does however have to be their genetic child.
- Surrogates or similar technology who are not president are fine, as long as the baby who is born is the genetic descendant of the president.
- This claim is only concerned with biological parenthood, not adoption.
- The birth must happen while this person is in office.
