Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 85.4%
Forecasters
60
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleDec 28, 25, 11:06 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Anthropic go public NOT via an IPO?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic go bankrupt or be dissolved as a result of a copyright case by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsCompanies to go public in 2026
FutuurWill OpenAI go public in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI go public NOT via an IPO?
Manifold MarketsWill Discord go public by the end of 2026?
FutuurRules
All these predictions are taken from Forbes/Rob Toews' "10 AI Predictions For 2026".
- For the 2025 predictions you can find them here, and their resolution here.
- You can find all the markets under the tag [2026 Forbes AI predictions].
- Note that I will resolve to whatever Forbes/Rob Toews say in their resolution article for 2026's predictions, even if I or others disagree with his decision.
- I might bet in this market, as I have no power over the resolution.
- Description of this prediction from the article:
