Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 96.7%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleDec 7, 25, 4:27 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:24 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Anthropic is a major AI developer (Claude family of models) that has discussed public-market options amid large private funding rounds and reported preparation with advisors.
- Media reports in late 2025 describe the company engaging counsel and banks and weighing an IPO, while Anthropic spokespeople have said no final decision or timing has been made. “Going public” could mean multiple routes beyond a traditional registered IPO — e.g., direct listing, SPAC merger (de-SPAC), or sale/merger into an existing public company — any of which would result in Anthropic’s equity being listed and tradable on U.S. or non‑U.S. public exchanges without a conventional underwritten IPO process.
- Question (short description)
- Will Anthropic become a publicly listed company through a non‑IPO route (direct listing, SPAC/de‑SPAC merger, or merger/going‑public via a public company acquisition) by 11:59:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2026?
- Target company: Anthropic PBC (or any legal entity whose equity represents Anthropic’s primary AI business/operating entity).
- Non‑IPO routes included: direct listing, SPAC merger (including reverse merger into a blank‑check company and completion of de‑SPAC transaction), or merger/acquisition that results in Anthropic equity being listed and publicly tradable (e.g., merger into a publicly traded company that issues Anthropic equity to public markets).
Open markets
Exchange
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Atpmatch MUSO 26 Ftiaamic
- AMIC+38.0pt78.4%
- FTIA-37.0pt21.6%
- Total Vol
- $5.4M
- 24h Vol
- $5.4M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 9pm EDT?
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,100 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $658.7K
- 24h Vol
- $637.4K
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Atpmatch MUSO 26 Bshecalc
- CALC76.7%
- BSHE+1.0pt23.3%
- Total Vol
- $534.5K
- 24h Vol
- $534.5K
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro Quarter Finals match
- Jessica Pegula76.8%
- Emma Navarro23.1%
- Total Vol
- $143.6K
- 24h Vol
- $499.1K
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.5pt100%
- 74,000+0.7pt100%
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- 24h Vol
- BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- How high will BTC get in September?
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Mandcgau
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Qzheeryb
- BNB price range on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?
- What chain will LAPTOP launch on?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Anthropic go public NOT via an IPO??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 97% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Anthropic go public NOT via an IPO? resolve?
- Will Anthropic go public NOT via an IPO? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Anthropic go public NOT via an IPO? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Anthropic is a major AI developer (Claude family of models) that has discussed public-market options amid large private funding rounds and reported preparation with advisors.