KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Prince Harry / Meghan Markle (99%)
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, 1:47 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 21, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Prince Harry / Meghan Markle 99%Leader of 19 outcomes
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$137.8K
Liquidity
$106.5K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleAug 20, 26, 7:00 PMSep 4, 26, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Trump (5+ times)1%
North Korea / Kim Jong Un1%
Prince Harry / Meghan Markle58%
Walmart1%
Iran (3+ times)14%
FAA1%
Melania1%
ICE1%
IndyCar2%
Ukraine / Ukrainian1%
Crypto / Bitcoin1%
Swalwell39%
Moderna1%
AI / Artificial Intelligence1%
Tariff1%
El Nino / El Niño1%
Canada / Canadian1%
Meta / Facebook / Instagram1%
Talarico1%
99%
99%
99%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
If any host or reporter says Moderna as part of ABC World News Tonight with David Muir , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- Video of the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
- For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
