KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Prince Harry / Meghan Markle (99%)
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, 1:47 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 21, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Trump (5+ times)1%
North Korea / Kim Jong Un1%
Prince Harry / Meghan Markle58%
Walmart1%
Iran (3+ times)14%
FAA1%
Melania1%
ICE1%
IndyCar2%
Ukraine / Ukrainian1%
Crypto / Bitcoin1%
Swalwell39%
Moderna1%
AI / Artificial Intelligence1%
Tariff1%
El Nino / El Niño1%
Canada / Canadian1%
Meta / Facebook / Instagram1%
Talarico1%
Prince Harry / Meghan MarkleWon
Iran (3+ times)Lost
SwalwellLost
IndyCarLost
Trump (5+ times)Lost
North Korea / Kim Jong UnLost
WalmartLost
FAALost
MelaniaLost
ICELost
Ukraine / UkrainianLost
Crypto / BitcoinLost
ModernaLost
AI / Artificial IntelligenceLost
TariffLost
El Nino / El NiñoLost
Canada / CanadianLost
Meta / Facebook / InstagramLost
TalaricoLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If any host or reporter says Moderna as part of ABC World News Tonight with David Muir , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- Video of the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
- For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.