KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
At least 4% 99%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.8K
Liquidity
$15.4K
Medium liquiditySpread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Aug 24, 26, 9:00 PM UTCSep 13, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsIf Zack Polanski is leader of the Green Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Green?
Manifold MarketsWill the Sweden Democrats increase their share in parliament in the Swedish 2026 general election?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Green Party in the 2026 Swedish general election is 3% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Swedish Election Authority
- The percentage is the share of the vote received by the Green Party in the election to the Riksdag.
- It is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places.
- Resolution uses Valmyndigheten's final certified result, NOT the preliminary count published on election night or the ongoing count in the days that follow Only the election to the Riksdag counts.
- Votes cast in the regional and municipal elections held the same day do NOT count Invalid, spoiled, blank and rejected ballots are excluded from the denominator
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Green Party in the 2026 Swedish general election is 4% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Politics
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Swedish general election: Green Party vote percent?
- Kalshi prices At least 4% at 99% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Swedish general election: Green Party vote percent resolve?
- Swedish general election: Green Party vote percent is scheduled to resolve on September 13, 2027.
- How is Swedish general election: Green Party vote percent settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Green Party in the 2026 Swedish general election is 3% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.