Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: BSW vote share?
23.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffElection1y
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
At least 2% 94%+3.0ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$5.1K
Liquidity
$5.5K
Medium liquiditySpread
10.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 8, 26, 11:00 PM UTCSep 20, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
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PolymarketMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?
PolymarketCDU above 5% in 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimmen) received by BSW in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election is 1% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
- The percentage is (second votes received by the party ÷ total valid second votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator.
- Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions, use certified/official results; unofficial results or media declarations may be used only as those provisions allow.
- If voting is cancelled, suspended, or postponed before it concludes, or no results (certified or unofficial as reported by the Source Agencies) are available by expiration, resolve No, subject to those provisions.
- If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, use the most recent certified percentage.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: BSW vote share??
- Kalshi prices At least 2% at 94% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: BSW vote share? resolve?
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: BSW vote share? is scheduled to resolve on September 20, 2027.
- How is Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: BSW vote share? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimmen) received by BSW in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election is 1% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.