KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNo trading activity
Data as of Sep 22, 2026, 2:02 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
At least 36% 0%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 11, 26, 2:00 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Paul Barringer in the 2026 NC-13 House election is 36% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Paul Barringer ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results.
- Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Paul Barringer in the 2026 NC-13 House election is 38% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt58.8%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva40.2%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $153.3M
- 24h Vol
- $967.8K
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep+0.3pt9%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $18M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $223.1M
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-5.0pt56.4%
- Nithya Raman+7.0pt43.6%
- Total Vol
- $33.2M
- 24h Vol
- $600.7K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-0.9pt91%
- Republican Party+0.3pt9%
- Total Vol
- $34.5M
- 24h Vol
- $564.5K
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Next French Presidential Election
- Ohio Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Kansas Senate winner?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for NC-13 House election: Paul Barringer vote percent?
- Kalshi prices At least 36% at 0% as of September 22, 2026.
- When does NC-13 House election: Paul Barringer vote percent resolve?
- NC-13 House election: Paul Barringer vote percent is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2027.
- How is NC-13 House election: Paul Barringer vote percent settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Paul Barringer in the 2026 NC-13 House election is 36% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.