KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
At least 50% 94%-4.0ptLeader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$10.4K
Liquidity
$6.4K
Medium liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 11, 26, 2:00 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
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KalshiRules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mark Alford in the 2026 MO-04 House election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Mark Alford ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results.
- Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mark Alford in the 2026 MO-04 House election is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Politics
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- JD Vance-0.4pt25.3%
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POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.1pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for MO-04 House election: Mark Alford vote percent?
- Kalshi prices At least 50% at 94% as of September 13, 2026.
- When does MO-04 House election: Mark Alford vote percent resolve?
- MO-04 House election: Mark Alford vote percent is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2027.
- How is MO-04 House election: Mark Alford vote percent settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mark Alford in the 2026 MO-04 House election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.