KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
At least 46% 84%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$2.7K
Medium liquiditySpread
9.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Sep 11, 26, 2:00 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Aaron Flint in the 2026 MT-01 House election is 44% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Office of the Secretary of State, Helena, MT
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Aaron Flint ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results.
- Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Aaron Flint in the 2026 MT-01 House election is 46% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for MT-01 House election: Aaron Flint vote percent?
- Kalshi prices At least 46% at 84% as of September 22, 2026.
- When does MT-01 House election: Aaron Flint vote percent resolve?
- MT-01 House election: Aaron Flint vote percent is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2027.
- How is MT-01 House election: Aaron Flint vote percent settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Aaron Flint in the 2026 MT-01 House election is 44% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.