KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
BJP-led NDA 79.2%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.8K
Low liquiditySpread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 1, 26, 2:00 AM UTCMay 21, 28, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will win Uttar Pradesh State Elections held in Jan - March 2027?
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KalshiRules
If Bharatiya Janata Party-led NDA wins the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Election Commission of India
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber.
- If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls.
- If an unlisted party, coalition, or alliance wins the most seats, every named market resolves NO.
- Alliance labels are interpreted as publicly constituted at issuance.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will win the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly election??
- Kalshi prices BJP-led NDA at 79% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Who will win the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly election? resolve?
- Who will win the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly election? is scheduled to resolve on May 21, 2028.
- How is Who will win the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly election? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Bharatiya Janata Party-led NDA wins the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election, then the market resolves to Yes.