KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 2.6% 88%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.6K
Liquidity
$2.2K
Low liquiditySpread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Aug 27, 26, 2:30 PM UTCSep 25, 26, 11:55 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the Mexico unemployment rate is above 2.4% for August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
- If the Mexico unemployment rate is above 2.5% for August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Mexico unemployment rate is above 2.6% for August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Mexico unemployment rate is above 2.7% for August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Mexico unemployment rate is above 2.8% for August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Mexico unemployment rate is above 2.9% for August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt53%
- No change-4.0pt47%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $104M
- 24h Vol
- $2.7M
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $376.2K
- 24h Vol
- $29K
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $607.8K
- 24h Vol
- $20.8K
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes+1.0pt2%
- Total Vol
- $710.8K
- 24h Vol
- $14.9K
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP86%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $12.2K
- 24h Vol
- $12.2K
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No96%
- Yes-1.0pt4%
- Total Vol
- $3.4M
- 24h Vol
- $8.9K
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Unemployment in September
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Mexico unemployment rate in August?
- Kalshi prices Above 2.6% at 88% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Mexico unemployment rate in August resolve?
- Mexico unemployment rate in August is scheduled to resolve on September 25, 2026.
- How is Mexico unemployment rate in August settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Mexico unemployment rate is above 2.4% for August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.