KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above 4.0% (98%)
Resolved: Sep 24, 2026, 2:36 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Above 4.0%
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
98%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 24, 2026, 1:21 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Above 4.5%29%
Above 4.3%96%
Above 4.1%Lost
Above 4.0%Won
Above 4.3%Lost
Above 4.2%Lost
Above 4.4%Lost
Above 4.5%Lost
Above 4.9%Lost
Above 4.6%Lost
Above 4.7%Lost
Above 4.8%Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the Australia unemployment rate is above 4.0% for August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
- If the Australia unemployment rate is above 4.1% for August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Australia unemployment rate is above 4.2% for August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Australia unemployment rate is above 4.3% for August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Australia unemployment rate is above 4.4% for August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Australia unemployment rate is above 4.5% for August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.