KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 99%
Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$175
Low liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 6.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 28, 25, 8:30 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If Donald J. Trump is on Sourcery with Molly O'Shea after Aug 28, 2025 at 4:30 PM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
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+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $808.4K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
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+39 more outcomes
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- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
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- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
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+4 more outcomes
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt15.8%
- Total Vol
- $28.3M
- 24h Vol
- $342.3K
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.2%
- Marco Rubio20.2%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt4.8%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $63.6M
- 24h Vol
- $338.6K
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Sourcery with Molly O'Shea: Will Donald Trump go on??
- Kalshi prices No at 99% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Sourcery with Molly O'Shea: Will Donald Trump go on? resolve?
- Sourcery with Molly O'Shea: Will Donald Trump go on? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Sourcery with Molly O'Shea: Will Donald Trump go on? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Donald J. Trump is on Sourcery with Molly O'Shea after Aug 28, 2025 at 4:30 PM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.