KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 6:57 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Before Apr 1, 2027 · —
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Stored price
Before Apr 1, 2027 89.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Before Apr 1, 2027 89.5%Market quality
25 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$250.4
Open interest
$5.1K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Before Apr 1, 2027Spread
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Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleOct 14, 26, 3:28 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Apr 1, 2027
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a 250-foot triumphal arch be built across from the Lincoln Memorial before Trump leaves office?
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KalshiRules
If construction begins on the proposed United States Triumphal Arch in Washington, D.C. after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If construction begins on the proposed United States Triumphal Arch in Washington, D.C. after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If construction begins on the proposed United States Triumphal Arch in Washington, D.C. after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If construction begins on the proposed United States Triumphal Arch in Washington, D.C. after Issuance and before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
