KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yes 67%+7.0pt
Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$400
Liquidity
$4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
66.0% / 69.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
May 22, 26, 5:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will construction of Trump's triumphal arch begin before the end of September?
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KalshiRules
If construction begins on the proposed United States Triumphal Arch in Washington, D.C. after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Open markets
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+35 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026??
- Kalshi prices Yes at 67% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026? resolve?
- Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If construction begins on the proposed United States Triumphal Arch in Washington, D.C. after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.